"Multiples" is a key word in the language of mergers and acquisitions. In its most common form, a multiple represents the price paid for a business divided by some measure of earnings, such as Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) or Operating Cash Flow (EBITDA less maintenance capital expenditures).
Reported multiples are based on actual prices paid in historical transactions from a particular industry or of a certain size. Many investment banks and other organizations regularly report multiples to establish benchmarks for evaluating other transactions.
During negotiations, relying too heavily on reported multiples can do a disservice to everyone. This article explores some of the subtleties with reported multiples and offers ideas on how to properly position multiples in negotiations. While multiples provide some negotiating perspective, they should not be the primary driver of value discussions.
The Make-Up Of A Multiple
Reported multiples aren't as definitive as they
seem. One can calculate several different multiples
for a single transaction depending on what it's
being multiplied against. For example, does the
multiple reflect reported EBITDA or adjusted EBITDA—after
removing nonrecurring, extraordinary expenses? Is
the multiple based on last year's earnings,
trailing-twelve-month's earnings or projected
earnings? Does the price include assumed liabilities
or consideration for future contingent payments?
As a result of all this, if two people calculate a multiple of EBITDA for the same transaction based on the same historical data, they will likely derive different numbers. When using a multiple from a completed transaction, it is important to learn the context and against what measure the multiple applies.
Differing Perspectives
Another significant consideration is the perspective
from which one calculates the multiple. For
example, in a transaction recently closed for a
buyer, the seller received a multiple of about six
times the prior year's EBITDA. From the buyer's
perspective, however, the price reflected an
effective multiple of three.
How can there be such a difference between the seller's and buyer's perspective? When conducting a strategic acquisition search, there is usually a compelling reason for approaching each target. In this case, the buyer knew several strategies to improve operating efficiency and increase sales volume. In addition, they knew areas to reduce operating expenses. These were not highly theoretical synergies, but very achievable ones. The result was that the buyer could realize higher cash flows than the seller. While paying a strong, fair price in order to convince the seller to sell, the buyer still bought at a relative bargain.
Value Beyond The Multiple
Multiples are frequently used, directly or
indirectly, during negotiations. Bear in mind that
the price of a business is not really based on a
multiple at all. Rather, price is a reflection of
the value enhancers and reducers for a particular
business.
Value enhancers are qualities such as: sustainable
competitive advantages; consistent profitability;
strong cash flow; diversification of products,
customers and markets; demonstrated growth
potential; and efficient use of capital. Value
reducers might include customer concentrations,
supplier dependencies, declining markets and various
other risks.
To develop a price, a buyer considers the future prospects of the business, amount of equity to invest, cost of capital and an acceptable, risk-adjusted rate of return. The absolute price the buyer is willing to pay determines the multiple based on the financial metrics. The resulting multiple can then be compared to the buyer's experience and examples of similar businesses.
For buyers familiar with the seller and industry, it may be possible early on to discuss a range of multiples based on their risk/return requirements. The range should not be based on reported multiples, but on an early assessment of the many factors that comprise value for a specific business. Also, with recent awareness of the tendency to employ creative accounting, buyers should be careful to establish a reliable base value from which to derive a multiple.
A Tale Of Two Multiples
Putting aside the issue of the buyer's capital
structure, consider this comparison: Company A
served the metalworking industry, and Company B
provided key components used in the food
industry. Both businesses had similar sales volume
and profitability. Company A had a stronger growth
history and larger asset base, yet Company B
commanded a multiple double that of Company A. In
addition, Company B received all cash while Company
A's terms included a seller note.
| Multiple Comparison of Companies with Similar Sales | ||
| Company A | Company B | |
| Five-Year Compounded Annual Growth Rate | 36% | 22% |
| Adjusted EBITDA/SALES | 20% | 20% |
| Adjusted Book Value/SALES | 45% | 25% |
| Terms | Seller Note | All Cash |
| Sale Multiple of EBITDA | 5x | 10x |
The difference in multiples paid lies in the underlying desirability of the businesses, considering value enhancers and detractors. Company B served a growing market with a strategically key component. Company A, while fundamentally strong, was more of a job-shop, commodity business.
If the buyer in each case had offered an overall average EBITDA multiple of six, Company A's buyer would have overpaid and Company B's buyer would not have been successful. Bottom line: even though Company B sold for a 66 percent premium over the average multiple at the time, the business prospered and the new owner subsequently sold for an outstanding return on investment. Company B's buyer was seasoned and had clear strategic objectives for the company.
Conclusion
Since multiples can be gathered from independent
third parties, they can help the buyer and seller
gain comfort during early price discussions. As the
transaction progresses, however, reported multiples
should become less prominent in negotiations. In
the end, a business is sold at a value determined by
thoughtful analysis of the business itself, its
markets, the investment risk/return and the buyer's
specific needs.

